Archive for Gold prices

Weekly Review World Markets

Monday, February 9th, 2009

It was a better week for world stock markets last week, with all the major indices pushing further off the January lows.

Despite Friday’s US payrolls falling by a more than expected 598,000, stock markets powered higher. This was an extremely weak employment report, with 3.5 million fewer Americans employed In January than a year earlier. However, the world’s biggest economy isn’t willing to roll over and die just yet. The rate of decline is accelerating, but US unemployment is still below the peaks of the 1980s and 1970s. Stock markets moved higher on the hope that Friday’s dire figures will act as a catalyst for the massive Obama stimulus package.

In the UK, banks pushed higher as speculation mounts that the bad bank plan is back on the cards. RBS is rumoured to be the first test of this model with other banks applying this template if successful. Judging by the rally in financial shares last week, traders are keen on this plan to come to fruition.

Commodities continued to drift lower, with oil prices falling through support at $40. Oil producers shrugged off the news to finish up on the week. However, lower energy prices cannot be shrugged off by all of those with a stake in the commodity. The Russian government had its credit rating downgraded due to fears over the impact of the collapse in oil prices.  The rouble continued its free fall.

Last week, the Bank of England cut rates to 1% as widely expected, and at the same time, the ECB signalled that it may cut rates in March. Despite the cut, it was a good week for Sterling, especially against the euro, as traders adjust their positions in light of the strong rate cut hint from Trichet.

There was some positive news from the Halifax housing report which showed that UK house prices rose last month. However, it is hard to read too much into this rise as the data conflicts with the previously released Nationwide report, and month to month figures are often subject to wide variance. This week’s highlights include a number of speeches from prominent central bankers including Treasury secretary Geithner, and FOMC chairman Ben Bernanke on Tuesday. On Wednesday Governor King speaks at the release of the BOE inflation report. ECB president, Trichet is due to speak on Thursday. Aside from this, we also have US retail sales and unemployment claims on Thursday.

When stock markets go up on bad news as they did last week, it is often a good sign that investors have re-discovered their appetite for risk taking. Even BP and Shell were moving higher on Friday, despite oil prices dipping below $40 a barrel. The bears have been handed plenty of opportunities to take control, but so far today, the bulls have won out. That is arguably a very encouraging indication that 2009 won”t end the year as it started.

Spot Gold Prices – January 13th 2009

Tuesday, January 13th, 2009

The price of gold closed sharply lower yesterday breaking below the 40 day moving average as the US dollar strength and a continuing weakness in daily crude oil prices proved difficult to be ignored by the market participants. Recently, gold has attracted buying interest following the clash between inflation and recession but now the yellow metal looks pressured by fund liquidation. Traditionally seen as a hedge against a falling US currency, gold is likely to remain under pressure in the short term if the greenback moves higher. This trend has continued this morning with daily gold prices moving to $816.55 as I write. The short term trend is sideways, the medium term trend is bearish while the long term trend is bullish.

Support:    $814.65 (yesterday low)                                   Resistance: $864.60 (high of 08/01/09)

Support:    $807.05 (low of 12/12/08)                                 Resistance: $856.65 (yesterday high)

Support:    $800.00 (psychological level)                             Resistance: $836.10 (low of 08/01

Daily Spot Gold Price – January 12th 2009

Monday, January 12th, 2009

On Friday daily spot gold prices closed slightly lower in a choppy session with the market making big swings in both directions. Initially the price of gold was modestly higher, but the December non-farm payrolls data showed that job losses nearly matched the consensus forecast which boosted the US dollar and in turn put pressure on gold. Later on despite a stronger US currency, the spot gold price regained a big part of the early losses in a short covering rally, as traders exited positions ahead of the weekend. The short and long term trends are bullish while medium term trend is bearish.

Support:    $844.00 (Friday low)                                      Resistance: $885.17 (high of 05/01/09)

Support:    $836.10 (low of 08/01/09)                                 Resistance: $870.50 (high of 06/01/09)

Support:    $828.70 (low of 23/12/08)                                 Resistance: $868.50 (Friday high)

Spot Gold Prices Daily – January 9th 2009

Friday, January 9th, 2009

Spot gold prices closed higher yesterday on the back of a weaker US dollar, with the daily gold chart showing an ‘Inside Day’ as traders were waiting for the US employment report. Concerns about the state of the global economy, and continuing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East seem to provide a good support for the price of gold lately. Today’s US payroll number will definitely capture everybody’s attention because if it’s stronger than expected it could cause a rise in the dollar which in turn can hurt gold but if it’s weaker than the forecast it could pressure on the currency and boost gold. Remember the news is released at 1.30 UK time so please make sure your positions are covered. The short and long term trends are bullish while medium term trend is bearish.

Support:    $836.10 (yesterday low)                                     Resistance: $885.17 (high of 05/01/09)

Support:    $828.70 (low of 23/12/08)                                   Resistance: $870.50 (high of 06/01/09)

Support:    $819.90 (low of 15/12/08)                                   Resistance: $864.60 (yesterday hi

Spot Gold Price – 8th January 2009

Thursday, January 8th, 2009

Despite a weaker US dollar spot gold prices moved sharply lower yesterday closing well below the 14 day moving average. Recently, safe haven buying amid continuing tensions in the Middle East have provided support to daily gold prices but worsening jobs data has shifted focus on the economy threatening the inflation driven gold rally in short term. Among other negative influences for the downward move in the price of gold was a big slump in daily crude oil prices after a bigger than expected inventory build combined with a tumble in stock markets.

The short and long term trends are bullish while medium term trend is bearish.

Support:    $835.20 (yesterday low)                                     Resistance: $885.17 (high of 05/01/09)

Support:    $828.70 (low of 23/12/08)                                   Resistance: $870.50 (high of 06/01/09)

Support:    $819.90 (low of 15/12/08)                                   Resistance: $867.00 (yesterday high)

Daily Gold Prices – January 7th 2009

Wednesday, January 7th, 2009

Initially daily gold prices declined yesterday hitting their weakest level since Dec 24th, but later on, as the US dollar gave up some of its early strength, the price of gold reversed course managing to close higher for the day. The late rally had the greenback as the main influencing factor with some additional boost coming from continuing tensions between Israel and Hamas leading to more buying of gold as a safe haven. Going forward it’s worth mentioning that the European Central Bank is under pressure to follow the Fed and other central banks in cutting rates more aggressively which could undermine the euro and in turn gold buyers entering the market. The short and long term trends are bullish while medium term trend is bearish.

Support:    $838.55 (yesterday low)                                     Resistance: $900.00 (psychological level)

Support:    $828.70 (low of 23/12/08)                                   Resistance: $885.17 (high of 05/01/09)

Support:    $819.90 (low of 15/12/08)                                   Resistance: $870.50 (yesterday high)

Daily Gold Prices Fall – 6th January 2009

Tuesday, January 6th, 2009

Daily gold prices closed sharply lower yesterday crossing below the 9 and 14 day moving averages. The downward move came in reaction to the currency market with the euro hitting a three week low against the US dollar on perceptions that the European Central Bank is behind the curve in lowering interest rates. Gold is often bought as a hedge against the greenback weakness so conversely sold during times of dollar strength.

The short and long term trends are bullish while medium term trend is bearish.

Support:    $843.45 (yesterday low)                                     Resistance: $908.77 (high of 22/09/08)

Support:    $838.00 (low of 25/12/08)                                   Resistance: $900.00 (psychological level)

Support:    $819.90 (low of 15/12/08)                                   Resistance: $885.17 (yesterday high)

Daily Gold Prices – 5th January 2009

Monday, January 5th, 2009

On Friday, as the US dollar moved slightly higher against the euro, gold prices declined with the chart indicating the 9 day moving average a good support level. In a session that looked like a continuation of the last trading day of 2008 where interest was very limited, the participants seemed more focused on profit taking rather than opening new positions. Another factor possibly influencing the slide was a rally in the stock market despite some bearish economic data which if it gains momentum could prompt a switch from gold to equities. The short and long term trends are bullish while medium term trend is bearish.

Support:    $855.25 (low of 31/12/08)                                   Resistance: $908.77 (high of 22/09/08)

Support:    $847.85 (low of 18/12/08)                                   Resistance: $900.00 (psychological level)

Support:    $842.10 (low of 26/12/08)                                   Resistance: $886.90 (Friday high)

Spot Gold Price – January 2nd 2009

Friday, January 2nd, 2009

Initially, on the last trading day of 2008 as the US dollar rose we saw gold prices declining, given that the yellow metal is seen as a dollar hedge and so usually trades inversely to the greenback. Later in the session gold prices bounced possibly on bargain hunting and closed higher despite a stronger dollar. It’s worth mentioning that gold has outperformed the commodities sector throughout this financial crisis and is very likely to continue to do so in an environment dominated by political and financial uncertainty. So for the longer term I expect gold prices to move higher. The short and long term trends are bullish while medium term trend is bearish.

Support:    $855.25 (low of 31/12/08)                                   Resistance: $908.77 (high of 22/09/08)

Support:    $847.85 (low of 18/12/08)                                   Resistance: $900.00 (psychological level)

Support:    $842.10 (low of 26/12/08)                                   Resistance: $890.80 (high of 29/12/08)

Daily Gold Prices – Year End 2008

Friday, January 2nd, 2009

The gold spot price closed lower yesterday as some investors decided that it’s safer to take part of the profits before year-end, a move somewhat expected and already mentioned in previous posts on daily gold prices. Speculation about a possible cease-fire between Israel and Hamas seemed to add extra pressure with gold slipping further in the early morning session, but it’s worth remembering the consensus that zero interest rates in the industrialized world places gold in a very favourable position as a long term investment. The short and long term trends are bullish while medium term trend is bearish.

Support:    $863.50 (yesterday low)                                     Resistance: $900.00 (psychological level)

Support:    $847.85 (low of 18/12/08)                                   Resistance: $890.80 (high of 29/12/08)

Support:    $842.10 (low of 26/12/08)                                   Resistance: $881.52 (yesterday high)